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Issue 67
May/June 2006
Infinite Energy Magazine
An
Afternoon to Remember:
Cold Fusion Session of APS Meeting
(March 16, 2006)
Robert W. Bass
Everyone aware of the potential
epochal importance of condensed matter nuclear science (CMNS) should
be grateful to Scott Chubb for the arduous but thankless annual
task, for the past six years, of keeping the subject alive at meetings
of the American Physical Society (APS). (This year’s session took
place in Baltimore, Maryland on March 16, from 2:30 to 5:06 p.m.)
As Jed Rothwell, founder of
the invaluable website www.lenr-canr.org, has justly pointed out,
the pioneers in the fields of cold fusion (CF) and related low-energy
nuclear reactions (LENR) are by now mostly aging veterans of the
“seventeen years ‘Long March’ since 3/23/89” and unless younger
people enter the field, we may experience the obverse of Max Planck’s
cynical observation that “science advances funeral by funeral.”
Indeed, the history of science is replete not only with happy tales
of elder citizens experiencing “vindication before death,” but also
with almost countless sad examples of deserving innovators who died
frustrated after decades of being ignored. Accordingly, among my
prayers is that Martin Fleischmann and Stan Pons will live long
enough to receive the recognition (e.g., from the Swedish
Royal Academy) that they so richly deserve as among mankind’s truly
greatest benefactors.
Many of the younger physicists
attending Session W41 (initially about 150 but gradually dwindling
to a mere dozen) asked respectful questions, which (despite the
expressed disappointment by some attendees that “too many” of the
baker’s dozen of 12-minute presentations were not given in person
but by proxy) leads one to hope: if indeed even only one young attendee
then experienced sufficient intellectual curiosity to doubt the
Establishment verdict of CF = “pathological science,” and to subsequently
play a significant role in preventing the field from perishing from
neglect, then Scott Chubb’s heroic labors in organizing these periodic
occasions of light in the midst of darkness may not have been in
vain.
Moreover, the 13 presenters
or groups of presenters this year included a gratifyingly high percentage
of the most stalwart contributors to this emerging field of revolutionary
science.
I felt that this was an unusually
opportune time for such a CF session, for two unrelated reasons:
(a) On the one hand, the younger
generation not only has access to the thousands of important CF
papers made available (or at least listed) at Jed’s website, but
just the week before I had finally got in my hands the impressive
two new volumes of CMNS papers (Proceedings of ICCF10, edited
by Peter Hagelstein and Scott R. Chubb, World Scientific, 2006,
1,016 pp., and Proceedings of ICCF11, edited by Jean-Paul
Biberian, World Scientific, 2006, 897 pp.), so that when Chairman
Chubb or the presenters referred to them I was able, from my seat
near the front, to hold aloft and display the tangible reality of
these massive new volumes in hopes of encouraging some attendees
to urge their own institutional libraries to acquire them and to
study them with the seriousness which they truly deserve.
(b) For the first time in 17
years it had been possible for a public invitation to be given to
one of the key players at the infamous Baltimore APS Meeting in
1989 at which he had vilified Fleischmann and Pons (F&P) as
“incompetent” and “delusional” to attend a CF session in which the
enormous amount of subsequent and ongoing independent corroborating
confirmations of the validity of their epochal discovery might give
him occasion for reconsideration. In fact, on the preceding evening,
there had been two major after-dinner presentations on “The Future
of Energy” (see p. 14). One of these was by Dr. Patricia Dehmer,
Director, Office of Basic Energy Sciences, Office of Science, U.S.
Department of Energy, available at www.sc.doe.gov/bes/ppt/BESpresentations.htm,
along with significantly enlarged/updated versions presented more
recently to the Office of Science & Technology Policy (formerly
the Presidential Science Advisor). After her presentation I showed
Pat Dehmer a shrink-wrapped copy of the second edition of Charles
Beaudette’s invaluable book, Excess Heat: Why Cold Fusion Research
Prevailed (Oak Grove Press, 2002), containing a Foreword by
champion futurist Sir Arthur C. Clarke, CBE, together with a new
copy of Steve Krivit’s [www.newenergytimes.com] powerful The
Rebirth of Cold Fusion: Real Science, Real Hope, Real Energy
(Pacific Oaks Press, 2004) which is endorsed on its back cover by
Nobel Laureate physicist Brian Josephson of Cambridge University,
and asked her if she was familiar with them. She indicated familiarity
with Beaudette’s book, but seemed surprised and interested by the
sight of Krivit’s book and so (since he had nobly given me several
copies to donate ad hoc) I offered her a copy, which she seemed
pleased to accept. The other major presentation was by former Caltech
Provost [1995-2004] and noted theoretical physicist Dr. Steven E.
Koonin, the Chairman of the influential behind-the-scenes elite
JASON group in 2001 when they were fired by DARPA (but re-emerged
under DDR&E sponsorship), and whose role in the tragic events
of 1989 is well-known to the readers of Beaudette’s and Krivit’s
books and to all readers of IE [e.g., Scott Chubb’s
forceful Editorial on pp. 6-9 of Issue 66, March/April 2006]. Koonin
is now Chief Scientist of British Petroleum in the UK, where his
charter appears to include major efforts to exhaustively foresee
and to advise action upon the relatively near-term issues, prospects,
and opportunities in this enormous subject on behalf of the company
whose new logo BP stands for “beyond petroleum.” In his AAAS guest
editorial on biofuel [Science, January 27, 2006, Vol. 311, p. 435,
www.sciencemag.org], Koonin openly provided his new email address
Steve.Koonin@uk.bp.com so by giving it here I am not disclosing
anything which he doesn’t already want everyone to know. In the
question and answer sequel to his presentation, Scott Chubb, with
reference to the Baltimore APS meeting in 1989 and Koonin’s fateful
role therein, publicly invited him to attend the next day’s session
on CF, but to no avail; see the transcript of this discussion following
this article. Subsequently I discussed with Koonin his evident great
interest in near-term solar-energy technology and offered to give
his card to my friends Mario Rabinowitz and Mark Davidson, inventors
of mind-bogglingly amazing revolutionary breakthroughs in cost-effectively
concentrating diffuse sunlight, upon which they have both jointly
and singly obtained a slew of pioneer patents with many more still
pending. Koonin cheerfully supplied his BP card (for which Mario
has thanked me greatly). On a later occasion that evening I showed
Dr. Koonin a copy of the second edition of Beaudette’s book, and
asked if he was familiar with it. He said that he was not, and then
gladly received my donation of this thoroughly-documented book.
Those APS attendees, like Dehmer
and Koonin, who missed Session W41, lost a wonderful opportunity
to get up to speed in what has been happening “beneath the radar”
of the conventionally-minded Establishment for the past nearly two
decades.
I was expecting Mike McKubre
and Fran Tanzella to present a masterful “17 Year Retrospective,”
covering the subject with their usual authoritative and objective
scrutiny, based upon vast personal experience with virtually every
known CF approach that has been reported by serious and qualified
researchers. Instead, on their behalf, Scott Chubb presented eight
of the most important slides used in their superb presentation to
the recent DOE reconsideration of CF, in a historic paper co-authored
by Peter Hagelstein, David Nagel, Talbot Chubb, and Randall Hekman,
which is, for anyone seriously interested, essential reading and
available online at www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/Hagelsteinnewphysica.pdf.
Investigative reporter Steve
Krivit has been diligently exploring every plausible development
in the entire CF field, and surprised me by having persuaded Hyunik
Yang and his former Russian collaborator Vysotskii to disclose at
ICCF12 some of the formerly closely-held information regarding Innovative
Energy Solutions Inc., where in June 2005 Fleischmann, McKubre,
Hagelstein, Beaudette, Krivit, and myself were privileged to witness
what purported to be the first large-scale (20 kilowatts!) CF power
demonstration. (Steve has a continuing interest in following developments
at www.iesiusa.com, which, sad to say, has lately become distracted
by intellectual property ownership issues and from which their former
chief scientific manager Yang has now departed.) However, Steve
refrained from mentioning iESi in his well-illustrated current-activity-survey
slideshow, which I hope he makes available on his website cited
above.
Scott Chubb’s own paper appears
to embody a very important theoretical breakthrough, but a critical
judgment of this work awaits scrutiny by those with a more profound
knowledge of solid-state theory than I am able to muster. He has
submitted a non-explicitly CF paper to Proc. Roy Soc. Series
A, and I look forward to its acceptance. Many of Scott’s statements
sound convincing to a mathematician like me who is only at best
an amateur in other subjects, but it makes sense to note that propositions
which refer to the idealized theory of an infinitely-repeating perfectly
periodic lattice are not necessarily directly applicable without
change to the more realistic case of finite-sized crystals with
actual boundaries. Using semi-classical band-state theory, in the
light of many accepted deep results in solid-state physics, Scott
has estimated that resonant tunneling times depend critically upon
crystal size. (Shades of Ed Storms’ “nuclear active environment
[NAE]” which can be formed via transient sporadic deposition of
Pd “crud” on otherwise wholly unsuitable materials—www.lenr-canr.org/acrobat/StormsEwhatcondit.pdf.)
According to Scott’s continuation of the theory which he had started
in his ICCF11 paper (Proceedings, p. 663), crystals smaller
than about 6 nm are too small and crystals larger than about 60
microns have tunneling times longer than a month! This may explain
why a finite triggering time is required after the near-full loading
conditions, and reminds me of Robert Parmenter’s CF theory which
I reviewed in IE (#21, August/September 1998, pp. 45-49).
Parmenter’s paper predicts a tunneling time of three days, and was
initially rejected by his earlier CF collaborator Nobel Laureate
physicist Willis Lamb, who later relented and said that he now considers
Parmenter’s resonant tunneling paper to be “important.” So forgive
me for mentioning Parmenter’s acknowledgment (IE #21, p.
44), “I am greatly indebted to Robert W. Bass for renewing my interest
in resonant tunneling.”
This leads me to confess one
of my life’s greatest regrets: when the Albert Einstein Professor
of Science at Princeton University, Jim Peebles (who had printed
a “proof” of the impossibility of CF in the final pages of the first
chapter of his otherwise admirable book on QM) was a sufficiently
good sport to review Parmenter’s paper (for authorized attribution
by me in IE), Jim quite justifiably balked at a point [Equation
32] where Parmenter had used hand-waving intuition to assume that
a QM harmonic oscillator, when driven by a resonantly-periodic source,
will experience unbounded “secular” growth in its complex wave-function’s
amplitude that is linear in time (just as will a classical harmonic
oscillator exhibit unbounded amplitude growth when resonantly forced).
I then separately asked both Scott Chubb and Hal Puthoff’s colleague
Michael Ibison if they could supply me with a proof of the missing
lemma, done sufficiently rigorously to, hopefully, convince Peebles.
My recollection is that Scott kindly sent me a succinct outline
of a complete proof, which would be acceptable to any knowledgeable
expert, while Michael actually sent me a detailed, publication-ready,
completely polished proof seemingly ready to withstand critical
peer review in having dotted all the i’s and crossed all the t’s.
But before backing up my e-mail attachments and getting ready to
submit these invaluable “save the day” missives to Peebles,
I suffered some kind of a computer mishap in 1990 in which they
were irretrievably lost! Neither Scott nor Michael has since been
able to find his own copy, and until I can offer to reimburse them
adequately for their genuinely pricelessly-valuable time, I cannot
in good conscience ask them to redo such a giant loss which is solely
my own reprehensible fault!
Talbot Chubb’s paper was even
more “above my own pay grade” than his nephew Scott’s, although
I gather that to cognoscenti of advanced solid-state theoretical
physics it should prove enlightening. I have learned from it that
what puzzles Nobel Laureate physicist Robert B. Laughlin (why
in solid-state physics a sea of electrons can appear not to experience
each other’s Coulombic repulsion?) doesn’t puzzle anyone who has
sufficient mastery of very mind-bending theoretical concepts in
wave mechanics. But the tangible phenomena of superconductivity
and superfluidity show that these unimaginable wave-mechanical notions
must have some relationship to physical reality! (I can understand
that Mario Rabinowitz’s “phenomenological theory” of these strange
subjects gets the right answer when the material density and temperature
is such that the particles are sufficiently close that their mean
separation distances are smaller than their de Broglie wavelengths,
but I still “just don’t get it” as regards what causes the impotence
of their Coulomb repulsions.) Anyway, I am deeply grateful to Talbot
for calling Laughlin’s remarkable book to my attention, because
its central thesis (“emergence”) supports my own claim that Planck’s
constant is proportional to the mean charged-particle number density
of the visible universe at the present epoch of cosmic time (which
I have substantiated to my own satisfaction, by correct prediction
of Hubble’s constant and passing of three other similar tests, in
as-yet unpublished papers available on my own website, www.innoventek.com).
George Miley and Heinz Hora
were internationally recognized experts on controlled thermonuclear
fusion, or hot fusion, long before CF burst upon the scene. Their
stature as true scientists is confirmed by their unwillingness to
join the overwhelming majority of career hot fusioneers and high-energy
physicists in condemning CF as a priori impossible. Unlike
their earlier forays directly into the LENR field, some of their
more recent research (as reported at ICCF10 and ICCF11) is of the
type of basic nuclear physics and condensed matter physics leading
to documentation of reproducible anomalous effects involving deuterated
metals and such as to make it increasingly irresponsible for conventional
thinkers to ignore the reality of LENR. The fifth presentation to
Session W41 strikes me as of this type: it concerns experimental
discovery that bombardment of (unspecified) hydride target cathodes
by glow discharge plasma deuterons at 300 V leads to a delayed emission
of 600 eV soft X-rays! This nonlinear collective dynamics cannot
be explained by any classical model. The authors hypothesize a coherent
D-diffusion process near the cathode’s surface, which, combined
with continuous high-current deuteron bombardment, causes penetration
of recoil deuterons into the inner electron shells of the cathode
material, resulting in X-ray emission. This is reminiscent of their
earlier work concerning the possibility that adequate consideration
of electron-screening by core electrons may render the standard
“Coulomb barrier” objection to F&P’s 1989 aneutronic d + d --> 4He
scenario irrelevant.
My reaction to Mitchell Swartz’s
impressive 13-slide presentation was “sold!” I hope that
he makes this slideshow available for downloading from his Cold
Fusion Times website (www.std.com/~mica/cft.html) because in
some respects Mitchell’s progress since his public demonstration
of a working Phusor‰ at ICCF10 has been quite enviable. I agree
with him that there are two separately measurable outputs (heat
and 4He) and that one should not necessarily assume that
optimizing one product automatically optimizes production of the
other, although there is a “relatively narrow peak of the biphasic
production curves.” I wholeheartedly endorse his discovery of Optimal
Operating Points (OOPs), whose non-dimensionalized widths could
be measured in “Malloves,” and which are all-important in that driving
with electrical input power beyond the peak OOP does not improve
the production of the desired product, but instead yields a falloff
of the production rates despite increasing input power. Many “negative”
results beloved of skeptical citation have occurred because of failure
to operate a system at or near its OOP. And the skeptics ignore
the spectacular discovery by F&P of heat after death
(HAD), i.e. chemically unexplainable and long-continued excess
heat after cessation of electrical power input! What Mitchell calls
tardive thermal power (TTP) is a quantity which he measures
whose time-integral is HAD. He has managed to gain a new degree
of control over his Pt/D2O/Pd systems with peak excess
power ratios of ~2.30 ±0.84 including TTP/HAD whose consideration
increases effective excess power up to ~410% beyond that without
TTP, using his dual ohmic control (DOC) calorimetry. As a trained
pure mathematician, often employed in the aerospace industry as
an (amateur) control systems engineer, I have had decades of frustrating
experience with an all-important but imperfectly-resolved technology
called the Empirical System Identification Problem (ESIP), which
has been an essential part of every major national defense and space
system R&D for the past half-century. Recently I received a
small purchase order from DARPA to develop my own innovative approach
to ESIP, in which records of multi-channel input signals are used
in connection with records of all measured outputs and a MATLAB-implemented
computer algorithm (analogous to “flight-test data reduction”) to
produce a strictly empirical model of the “unknown dynamics” inside
the “arbitrary black box” which are sufficiently good that an acceptable
forecast of any future response to any as-yet untried suite of command
signals can be predicted with precision. I am dying to perfect my
Multi-Input Multi-Output (MIMO) approach to ESIP, via my Stochastic
Generalization of the Ho-Kalman Algorithm, to the point where I
can apply it to Mitchell’s MIMO input/output data-records and attempt
to design an optimal multichannel feedback CF control system (based
upon the strategy that I presented at ICCF1 in 1990, and which is
now available on my website) to force the Phusor toward the Swartz
OOP and maintain it there despite fluctuating external variables.
The seventh W41 presentation
concerned a truly international collaboration between researchers
in Italy, Israel, and the United States regarding use of HeNe laser
irradiation during loading to enhance excess power reproducibility
in deuterated palladium, namely the Letts-Cravens Effect which had
been major news at ICCF10 in 2003. A preliminary correlation was
found between excess energy and 4He concentration increasing
above background, leading to the conclusion that laser triggering
produces an “interesting” gain of reproducibility. I was mildly
surprised that Victor Violante had been able to secure the cooperation
not only of McKubre but of Irv Dardik and his colleagues at Energetics
Ltd., because for the past three years Mike McKubre has been telling
everyone that in his opinion the “superwave” excitation approach
of Dardik, first disclosed at ICCF10, was “the most important experiment,
in any field, on planet earth at this time” and yet the initial
versions of Dardik’s Energetics approach did not require laser triggering.
Roger Stringham of Firstgate
Energies presented a video regarding impressively improved capabilities
of his innovative “sonofusion” device. A low mass, durable 1.6 MHz
unit produces 40 watts of excess heat with an acoustic input power
of 17 watts. Excess 4He commensurate with F&P’s 1989
aneutronic d + d--> 4He scenario has been found. The
energy density of Roger’s reactor is of the order of commercial
energy suppliers. It is a mystery to me why some large energy company
has not yet offered to work on this project.
The ninth paper was an extremely
important rebuttal of criticisms of their isoperibolic calorimetry
by no less than Melvin Miles [the first to measure 4He
commensurate with heat in F&P’s 1989 scenario] and Martin Fleischmann
himself! Honesty requires me to report that when I asked Scott Chubb,
who had presented a videotaped lecture submitted by Miles, to “remind
me of the distinction between precision and accuracy” he gave what
sounded like a waffling answer! [Though possibly Scott’s answer
was quite accurate but my own comprehension was insufficiently precise.]
Now, after having googled “accuracy vs. precision,” it appears that
accuracy refers to the closeness to truth (however that may
be determined!) whereas precision refers merely to the degree
of repeatability of a measurement under identical conditions. For
example, a chronometer may be precise to a microsecond but not having
been set correctly can be inaccurate as regards the time. At any
rate, these two genuine CF pioneers are satisfied that a detailed
consideration of their protocols will convince any honest critic
that the precision of their calorimetry is better than 99.99% while
their accuracy is close to the same figure. As the saying goes,
“that’s good enough for government work!”
To say that Fangel Gareev is
an audacious thinker is an understatement. Reading his essay on
“the universal resonance principle of synchronization” in the Proceedings
of ICCF11 (pp. 469-473) motivated me to download and study the
first reference in his Abstract (at arXiv Nucl-th/0511092) which
is so thought-provoking that I am left mentally breathless. Following
some published speculations of Schrödinger in his famous essay “What
is Life?,” Gareev proposes that the radius of the lowest Bohr orbit
is a universal length in nature and that everything in chemistry
and even biochemistry can be understood in terms of integral multiples
of said length and corresponding frequency harmonics. He claims
to have published vast numbers of examples in Russian-language papers
which are neither accessible nor readable by me, so it isn’t yet
clear whether or not he is onto something or merely exploiting coincidences
by generous rounding-off to get integers. Apparently he views particles
as some kinds of standing waves in the visible universe, where the
phase velocity is so great that contact is essentially globally
instantaneous (and there are others who have seriously considered
such a “purely waves-model” to resolve some of the perplexities
remaining in the Copenhagen interpretation of QM). If this view
has any merit then there are globally-collective explanations for
LENR and many other aspects of reality. Since Gareev’s slideshow
was presented by Scott Chubb, I think that the better part of valor
would be for me to hide behind his Uncle Talbot and ask the elder
Chubb to comment on this boldly “different” paper!
In contrast, I have no hesitation
in expressing unbounded admiration for the achievements of Xing
Zhong Li of Tsinghua University with his Selective Resonant Tunneling
Model of CF, for several reasons enumerated below, and also gladly
endorse his “nailing of the final nail in the coffin” of the destructive
1989 ERAB Report by accepting its call for more research regarding
allegations of tritium production and, after a definitive review
of the experimental facts, showing that his own model predicts a
5 keV recoil triton and no 14 MeV neutron! Independently of CF,
Li’s theory predicted a discrepancy with published tables regarding
hot fusion, which upon investigation proved to be seriously flawed,
and Li’s a priori theory turns out to fit the experimental
data better than the DOE’s five-parameter adjustable curves used
in their purely empirical tabulation! (If this isn’t Nobel Prize
caliber research, what is?) The resonant tunneling theory which
I have advocated since ICCF4 in 1993 (a summary of which may be
found in my MIT 2005 Cold Fusion Colloquium Slideshow, available
on my website) is, echoing the language of Schwinger, admittedly
“crude” since it concerns only energy levels (frequencies) of resonant
transparency of the Coulomb barrier, and relies upon citation of
separate arguments by Schwinger (e.g., relevant QM selection
rules and crudely quantitative phonon-energy estimates) in order
to address all three “miracles” required by arch-skeptic Huizenga.
But Li’s theory, involving not only amplitude but phase of the wave
function, pertains not only to energy level (frequency) but also
the reaction rate (damping), and seems to me to be the first CF
theory which hits a home run regarding all three of Huizenga’s puzzles!
The theory which I have advocated as sufficient for a “first cut”
at the problem gives only YES/NO answers (pertaining to the odd
or even integer characterization of the “albeit crude” Schwinger
Ratio), whereas Li’s theory predicts reaction rates and selects
the slow reaction channel requiring no gammas and no
neutrons! Moreover, he predicts the visible correlation between
deuterium flux and excess heat flow in variable pumping-rate D2-pumping
experiments. Accordingly, it is not surprising that Nobel Laureate
physicist Brian Josephson cited Li’s “selective resonant tunneling
model” twice in his 2004 talk to fellow Nobelists at their
annual Lindau Meeting!
Finally, the nearly 200 members
from 23 different countries of the new International Society for
Condensed Matter Nuclear Science (ISCMNS) owe a great debt of gratitude
to Bill Collis for taking on the responsibilities required to incorporate
and maintain a new professional society. I hope that he makes his
APS slideshow available on the ISCMNS website [www.iscmns.org] because
I found it not only informative and inspiring but I got a kick out
of his deliberate imitation of some of the famous language in the
American Declaration of Independence in his opening proclamation
to the Establishment about why the existing societies are not adequate
for today’s realities.
The W41 session abstracts follow;
they are also available online at:
http://meetings.aps.org/Meeting/MAR06/sessionindex2/?SessionEventID=45597)

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